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October 2024

Geopolitical Risks Growing, But So Are Profits

"He who awaits much can expect little."

- Gabriel Garcia Marquez -

Rising geopolitical tensions and the outcome of the forthcoming US presidential election are sure to play a role in shaping market trends. Fortunately, corporate profits continue to push higher, the economy has remained resilient, and the Federal Reserve has resumed easing. Each are soothing offsets to the unsettling macro backdrop. While we continue to see far more volatility in asset prices than the underlying earnings and economic estimates, the month of October does have a volatile history.